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Taça de Portugal

Chaves

T S S T S

0–2

Full-time

Benfica

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Vila Meã	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Espinho	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Comércio Indústria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Vila Real	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Amarante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	1º Dezembro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Vila Caíz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	AD Marco 09	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Celoricense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
16	Marinhense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
17	Moncarapachense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
18	Gouveia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Anadia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Mortágua	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Os Marialvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Peniche	2	1	0	1	+7	3
23	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+6	3
24	Alpendorada	1	1	0	0	+6	3
25	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+5	3
26	Atlético Malveira	2	1	0	1	+5	3
27	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+5	3
28	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
29	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
33	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	AD Fornos Algodres	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Ançã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Farense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Silves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	União Lamas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Uniao Nogueirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Correlhã	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Nazarenos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Monção	2	1	0	1	-1	3
61	Machico	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2	1	0	1	-3	3
63	Brito	2	1	0	1	-4	3
64	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
65	Rebordelo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Portimonense B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Charneca Caparica	2	0	1	1	-2	1
72	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Mafra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Almodôvar	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
121	Operário	1	0	0	1	-5	0
122	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
123	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
124	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-6	0
125	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
126	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
127	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
128	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0
129	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
130	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Comércio Indústria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Vila Caíz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Celoricense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
7	Marinhense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
8	Moncarapachense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Peniche	2	1	0	1	+7	3
10	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+6	3
11	Alpendorada	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+5	3
13	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	AD Fornos Algodres	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Ançã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Silves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	União Lamas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Uniao Nogueirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Correlhã	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Nazarenos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
41	Rebordelo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Portimonense B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Monção	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Machico	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
68	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vila Meã	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	1º Dezembro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Anadia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Os Marialvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Atlético Malveira	2	1	0	1	+5	3
8	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Farense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Brito	2	1	0	1	-4	3
31	Gouveia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	FC Serpa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Mafra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Charneca Caparica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Almodôvar	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Operário	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
73	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-6	0
74	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
75	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
76	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
77	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.