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Premier League
Referee: D Coote
Leeds
S U T U S
2–2
Full-time
Brentford
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Premier League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
7 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 16. · Brentford 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 15 11 2 2 +23 35
2 Liverpool 15 10 4 1 +32 34
3 Chelsea 15 10 3 2 +26 33
4 West Ham 15 8 3 4 +9 27
5 Arsenal 14 7 2 5 -3 23
6 Tottenham 13 7 1 5 -4 22
7 Man United 14 6 3 5 +0 21
8 Wolves 15 6 3 6 -1 21
9 Brighton 15 4 8 3 -2 20
10 Leicester 14 5 4 5 -3 19
11 Crystal Palace 14 3 7 4 -1 16
12 Brentford 14 4 4 6 -2 16
13 Aston Villa 14 5 1 8 -4 16
14 Southampton 15 3 7 5 -7 16
15 Everton 14 4 3 7 -7 15
16 Leeds 14 3 6 5 -7 15
17 Watford 15 4 1 10 -9 13
18 Burnley 14 1 7 6 -7 10
19 Newcastle 15 1 7 7 -13 10
20 Norwich 14 2 4 8 -20 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Brentford
J. Harrison 🔁
↦ L. Cooper
15′
1–0 T. Roberts
Raphinha
27′
Tyler Roberts 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Charlie Goode
54′
S. Baptiste 1–1
55′
🟨 Sergi Canós
M. Klich 🔁
↦ K. Phillips
55′
61′
Sergi Canós 1–2
B. Mbeumo
P. Bamford 🔁
↦ Junior Firpo
68′
69′
🔁 F. Onyeka
↦ S. Baptiste
72′
🔁 Y. Wissa
↦ Sergi Canós
Jack Harrison 🟨
75′
Mateusz Klich 🟨
79′
80′
🟨 Rico Henry
Raphinha 🟨
85′
90′
🔁 M. Jensen
↦ V. Janelt
Patrick Bamford 🟨
95′
2–2 P. Bamford
L. Ayling
95′
Full-time 2–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U ✓
3,62
B
3,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Coote · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.