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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S
6–1
Full-time
Sparta Rotterdam
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,7
2,8
Scored
3,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,73 xG 1,21
66% Possession 34%
22 Shots 8
12 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. May -25 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 5. Oct -24 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 5. May -24 PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 8. Oct -23 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 6. May -23 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–1

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Sparta Rotterdam
1–0 R. van Bommel ⚽
Y. Gasiorowski
3′
33′
🟨 Jens Toornstra
2–0 I. Perisic ⚽
J. Veerman
40′
3–0 S. Dest ⚽
A. Plea
45′
Half-time 4–0
4–0 J. Veerman ⚽
I. Perisic
50′
63′
⚽ S. Ltaief 4–1
S. Mito
G. Til 🔁
↦ I. Saibari
67′
5–1 G. Til ⚽
I. Perisic
70′
C. Driouech 🔁
↦ R. van Bommel
73′
E. Bajraktarevic 🔁
↦ I. Perisic
73′
6–1 Y. Gasiorowski ⚽
J. Veerman
77′
78′
🔁 T. Quintero
↦ B. Martins Indi
78′
🔁 A. Oufkir
↦ S. Ltaief
Sergiño Dest 🟨
81′
K. Sildillia 🔁
↦ S. Dest
82′
T. Land 🔁
↦ J. Schouten
82′
83′
🔁 N. Thorisson
↦ S. Mito
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
32 M. Kovar G
8 S. Dest D
6 R. Flamingo D
3 Y. Gasiorowski D
17 Mauro Junior D
34 I. Saibari M
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
5 I. Perisic F
14 A. Plea F
7 R. van Bommel F
Bench (12)
1 N. Olij
24 N. Schiks
4 A. Obispo
25 K. Sildillia
33 E. Waayers
39 A. Nagalo
20 G. Til
26 I. Babadi
28 T. Land
35 J. van den Berg
11 C. Driouech
19 E. Bajraktarevic

Coach: Peter Bosz

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-2-2
1 J. Drommel G
2 S. Bakari D
3 M. Young D
4 B. Martins Indi D
5 P. van Aanholt D
10 J. Toornstra M
6 J. Kitolano M
7 S. Ltaief M
8 P. Clement M
11 S. Mito F
9 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (11)
12 M. de Ligt
13 T. Quintero
14 T. Velthuis
15 T. Vianello
16 J. Baas
17 A. Oufkir
19 N. Thorisson
21 J. Ideho
35 F. Bednarek
38 P. Kuiper
18 A. Santos

Coach: Maurice Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
🔒
U
6,99
🔒
B
12,69
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,37
🔒
U2,5
2,88
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.