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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

Almere City

S U U S S

1–4

Full-time

Twente

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almere City Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,56 xG 1,75

34% Possession 66%

12 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 11

0 Offside 6

15 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
8	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
11	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
12	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
13	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
14	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
15	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
6	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
7	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
8	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
2	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
3	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
4	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
5	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
6	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
7	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.