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Premier League
Referee: T Robinson
Wolves
S S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Tottenham
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
24%
56%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
40%
52%
Both score Ø 44%
36%
52%
Average goals
2,1
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,52 xG 1,20
47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 9
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 15. · Tottenham 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 25 19 3 3 +33 +6.4 60
2 Man City 26 18 4 4 +41 +10.2 58
3 Man United 24 15 4 5 +13 +2.9 49
4 Tottenham 25 14 3 8 +11 -0.4 45
5 Newcastle 24 10 11 3 +18 -0.0 41
6 Liverpool 24 11 6 7 +12 +3.4 39
7 Fulham 25 11 6 8 +5 -1.9 39
8 Brighton 22 10 5 7 +10 +5.8 35
9 Brentford 23 8 11 4 +7 +1.7 35
10 Chelsea 24 8 7 9 -2 +1.4 31
11 Aston Villa 24 9 4 11 -8 -5.7 31
12 Crystal Palace 24 6 9 9 -10 -4.6 27
13 Nott'm Forest 24 6 7 11 -24 -4.7 25
14 Leicester 24 7 3 14 -6 -3.5 24
15 Wolves 25 6 6 13 -17 -3.4 24
16 West Ham 24 6 5 13 -6 +3.1 23
17 Leeds 24 5 7 12 -10 -0.5 22
18 Everton 25 5 6 14 -19 -3.7 21
19 Bournemouth 24 5 6 13 -26 -3.0 21
20 Southampton 24 5 3 16 -22 -3.5 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Tottenham
R. Jiménez 🔁
↦ Diego Costa
28′
Half-time 0–0
N. Collins 🔁
↦ Pedro Neto
46′
Adama Traoré 🔁
↦ M. Lemina
46′
Rúben Neves 🟨
49′
61′
🟨 Dejan Kulusevski
João Moutinho 🔁
↦ Matheus Nunes
67′
Matheus Cunha 🔁
↦ Pablo Sarabia
67′
77′
🔁 Lucas Moura
↦ D. Kulusevski
82′
🔁 Emerson
↦ Pedro Porro
1–0 Adama Traoré
82′
85′
🔁 Richarlison
↦ B. Davies
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wolves

4-2-3-1
1 José Sá G
22 Nélson Semedo D
15 C. Dawson D
23 M. Kilman D
19 Jonny Castro D
8 Rúben Neves M
5 M. Lemina M
21 Pablo Sarabia M
27 Matheus Nunes M
7 Pedro Neto M
29 Diego Costa F
Bench (9)
9 R. Jiménez
4 N. Collins
37 Adama Traoré
28 João Moutinho
12 Matheus Cunha
3 R. Aït Nouri
25 D. Bentley
24 Toti
35 João Gomes

Coach: Lopetegui

Tottenham

3-4-2-1
20 F. Forster G
17 C. Romero D
34 C. Lenglet D
33 B. Davies D
23 Pedro Porro M
4 O. Skipp M
5 P. Højbjerg M
14 I. Perišić M
21 D. Kulusevski F
7 Son Heung-Min F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
27 Lucas Moura
12 Emerson
9 Richarlison
40 B. Austin
29 P. Sarr
15 E. Dier
6 D. Sánchez
25 J. Tanganga
16 A. Danjuma

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,31
U
3,36
B
2,27
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.