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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Galatasaray
S U T U S
2–1
Full-time
Besiktas
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 53%
55%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
45%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
45%
67%
Average goals
2,1
3,4
Scored
1,3
2,1
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
19 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 7
0 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 5. · Besiktas 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 11 8 2 1 +22 26
2 Buyuksehyr 11 7 2 2 +11 23
3 Ad. Demirspor 12 6 5 1 +10 23
4 Besiktas 12 6 4 2 +9 22
5 Galatasaray 11 6 3 2 +5 21
6 Trabzonspor 11 6 3 2 +3 21
7 Konyaspor 12 5 5 2 +6 20
8 Kayserispor 12 6 2 4 +5 20
9 Alanyaspor 13 4 4 5 -5 16
10 Gaziantep 11 4 3 4 +1 15
11 Kasimpasa 13 4 3 6 -11 15
12 Antalyaspor 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Karagumruk 11 3 3 5 -1 12
14 Ankaragücü 12 3 3 6 -5 12
15 Giresunspor 12 3 3 6 -8 12
16 Sivasspor 12 2 4 6 -5 10
17 Hatayspor 11 3 1 7 -11 10
18 İstanbulspor 12 2 2 8 -13 8
19 Ümraniyespor 12 1 3 8 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Besiktas
1–0 M. Icardi
B. Yılmaz
18′
28′
C. Tosun 1–1
R. Saïss
40′
🔁 T. Bingöl
↦ V. Rosier
Dries Mertens 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Icardi
Sérgio Oliveira
59′
K. Aktürkoğlu 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
64′
64′
🔁 J. Muleka
↦ G. Nkoudou
64′
🔁 N. Redmond
↦ S. Uçan
70′
🔁 N. Uysal
↦ U. Meraş
73′
🟨 Nathan Redmond
73′
🟨 Souza
77′
🟨 Necip Uysal
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
80′
L. Dubois 🔁
↦ E. Taşdemir
80′
Sérgio Oliveira 🟨
89′
Lucas Torreira 🟨
92′
F. Midtsjø 🔁
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
92′
E. Bayram 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
92′
93′
🟨 Tayfur Bingöl
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
13 E. Taşdemir D
5 L. Torreira M
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
53 B. Yılmaz M
10 D. Mertens M
26 M. Rashica M
99 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
7 K. Aktürkoğlu
22 B. Kutlu
2 L. Dubois
6 F. Midtsjø
40 E. Bayram
11 Y. Akgün
88 K. Karataş
18 B. Gomis
34 O. Kocuk
64 Mata

Coach: O. Buruk

Besiktas

4-3-3
34 M. Günok G
2 V. Rosier D
3 T. Sanuç D
26 R. Saïss D
77 U. Meraş D
8 S. Uçan M
5 Josef de Souza M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
9 C. Tosun F
10 W. Weghorst F
7 G. Nkoudou F
Bench (10)
88 T. Bingöl
40 J. Muleka
15 N. Redmond
20 N. Uysal
14 E. Uzunhan
17 K. Kesgin
1 E. Destanoğlu
23 Welinton
13 A. Hutchinson
11 D. Alli

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
U
3,59
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.