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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Barcelona
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Almeria
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
2,4
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
27 Shots 4
13 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
9 Corners 1
6 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Almeria 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 12 10 2 0 +19 32
2 Barcelona 12 10 1 1 +25 31
3 Ath Madrid 12 7 2 3 +8 23
4 Betis 12 7 2 3 +8 23
5 Osasuna 13 7 2 4 +3 23
6 Sociedad 12 7 1 4 +1 22
7 Ath Bilbao 13 6 3 4 +7 21
8 Villarreal 12 5 3 4 +6 18
9 Vallecano 12 5 3 4 +3 18
10 Valladolid 13 5 2 6 -5 17
11 Valencia 12 4 3 5 +4 15
12 Getafe 13 3 5 5 -7 14
13 Girona 13 3 4 6 -3 13
14 Mallorca 12 3 4 5 -3 13
15 Almeria 12 4 1 7 -5 13
16 Espanol 12 2 5 5 -5 11
17 Celta 13 3 2 8 -12 11
18 Cadiz 13 2 5 6 -16 11
19 Sevilla 12 2 4 6 -8 10
20 Elche 13 0 4 9 -20 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Almeria
Ferran Torres ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
6′
6′
🟨 Kaiky
Ferran Torres 🟨
9′
Ousmane Dembélé 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Dyego Sousa
↦ Léo Baptistão
46′
🔁 S. Babić
↦ Kaiky
1–0 O. Dembélé
Sergio Busquets
48′
Ansu Fati 🔁
↦ Ferran Torres
61′
2–0 F. de Jong
62′
Raphinha 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
68′
Gavi 🔁
↦ Sergio Busquets
68′
68′
🔁 Arnau Puigmal
↦ Melero
68′
🔁 Íñigo Eguaras
↦ Rodrigo Ely
78′
🔁 Portillo
↦ L. Robertone
A. Christensen 🔁
↦ Piqué
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
28 Balde D
3 Piqué D
17 Marcos Alonso D
18 Jordi Alba D
8 Pedri M
5 Sergio Busquets M
21 F. de Jong M
7 O. Dembélé F
9 R. Lewandowski F
11 Ferran Torres F
Bench (11)
10 Ansu Fati
22 Raphinha
30 Gavi
15 A. Christensen
26 Iñaki Peña
35 C. Riad
29 Marc Casadó
32 Pablo Torre
2 Héctor Bellerín
24 Eric García
36 Arnau Tenas

Coach: Xavi

Almeria

5-3-2
13 Fernando Martínez G
24 H. Mendes D
2 Kaiky D
19 Rodrigo Ely D
21 Chumi D
15 Sergio Akieme D
5 L. Robertone M
23 Samú Costa M
3 Melero M
12 Léo Baptistão F
7 L. Ramazani F
Bench (12)
11 Dyego Sousa
22 S. Babić
18 Arnau Puigmal
4 Íñigo Eguaras
8 Portillo
6 César de la Hoz
9 E. Touré
10 Adri Embarba
20 Álex Centelles
25 Diego Fuoli
17 Alejandro Pozo
14 Lázaro

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,10
U
10,92
B
25,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,27
U2,5 ✓
3,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.