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Primeira Liga

Referee: Miguel Nogueira

Vizela

S S U T U

0–1

Full-time

Arouca

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vizela Arouca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

27%

36%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

27%

55%

Both score Ø 46%

36%

55%

Average goals

1,9

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

25 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vizela 12. · Arouca 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	10	1	0	+24	31
2	Sp Braga	11	8	1	2	+17	25
3	Porto	11	7	2	2	+15	23
4	Guimaraes	11	6	2	3	+3	20
5	Casa Pia	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	Sp Lisbon	11	6	1	4	+7	19
7	Portimonense	12	6	1	5	-1	19
8	Boavista	11	5	2	4	-5	17
9	Estoril	11	4	4	3	+2	16
10	Arouca	11	4	4	3	-5	16
11	Chaves	11	4	3	4	-4	15
12	Vizela	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Rio Ave	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Famalicao	11	3	1	7	-6	10
15	Santa Clara	11	2	3	6	-4	9
16	Gil Vicente	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Maritimo	11	1	2	8	-18	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	11	0	2	9	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Guimaraes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Porto	5	4	0	1	+12	12
4	Sp Lisbon	5	4	0	1	+9	12
5	Boavista	6	3	2	1	+0	11
6	Sp Braga	5	3	1	1	+7	10
7	Casa Pia	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Portimonense	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	Arouca	6	3	1	2	-2	10
10	Famalicao	5	3	0	2	+2	9
11	Rio Ave	5	3	0	2	+2	9
12	Chaves	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Santa Clara	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Estoril	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Gil Vicente	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Vizela	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Maritimo	5	0	1	4	-4	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	6	5	0	1	+10	15
2	Benfica	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Estoril	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Porto	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Casa Pia	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Portimonense	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Chaves	6	3	0	3	-5	9
8	Vizela	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Sp Lisbon	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Arouca	5	1	3	1	-3	6
12	Boavista	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Gil Vicente	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Maritimo	6	1	1	4	-14	4
15	Santa Clara	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	Rio Ave	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-4	1
18	Famalicao	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.