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KNVB Beker
Referee: R Martens
Hoek
S U
2–4
Full-time
Heerenveen
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoek Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 ADO '20 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Staphorst 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Hoek 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 OFC Oostzaan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Blauw Geel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 HV & CV Quick 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Kozakken Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 URK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Excelsior '31 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Dongen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 TEC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
21 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 RKAV Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Harkemase Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 DEM 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
46 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
49 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoek Heerenveen
1–0 S. Schalkwijk ⚽
G. Delannoy
6′
2–0 R. Impens ⚽
26′
41′
⚽ M. Köhlert 2–1
A. Tahiri
Half-time 2–2
49′
⚽ R. Al Hajj 2–2
S. van Ottele
S. Hage 🔁
↦ M. De Smet
54′
J. Bonsu 🔁
↦ S. Schalkwijk
60′
G. Vandecandelaere 🟨
71′
72′
🔁 A. Colassin
↦ S. van Hooijdonk
72′
🔁 T. Halilović
↦ A. Timossi Andersson
74′
🔁 D. Nunumete
↦ M. Köhlert
77′
🟨 T. Halilovic
K. Bannani 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 S. van Beek
↦ H. Ali
90′
🔁 T. Haye
↦ A. Tahiri
93′
⚽ R. Al Hajj 2–3
J. Schamp 🔁
↦ R. Impens
94′
S. Vereecke 🔁
↦ A. Zutterman
98′
G. Delannoy 🟨
105′
J. Constancia 🔁
↦ G. Delannoy
105′
A. Embrechts 🟨
109′
S. Vereecke 🟨
115′
115′
🟨 T. Halilovic
115′
🟥 T. Halilovic
J. O. Bonsu 🟨
117′
119′
⚽ R. Al Hajj 2–4
A. Colassin
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Hoek

1 L. Knipping
5 E. Martens
3 A. Embrechts
16 K. Bannani
2 A. Zutterman
10 R. Impens
15 G. Vandecandelaere
17 Mohammad Jabar Zada
11 G. Delannoy
20 S. Schalkwijk
26 M. De Smet
Bench (8)
19 S. Hage
14 J. Bonsu
8 J. Schamp
22 S. Vereecke
18 J. Constancia
23 R. Goddyn
6 F. Wilson
30 F. Murre

Coach: B. De Neve

Heerenveen

1 X. Mous
7 M. Köhlert
13 R. Kaib
6 S. van Ottele
27 M. van Ewijk
15 H. Ali
26 A. Tahiri
19 S. Olsson
22 R. Al Hajj
8 A. Timossi Andersson
17 S. van Hooijdonk
Bench (10)
29 A. Colassin
10 T. Halilović
21 D. Nunumete
4 S. van Beek
33 T. Haye
5 P. Bochniewicz
36 A. Ismaïl
34 T. Zaal
44 A. Noppert
23 J. Bekkema

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Martens · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.