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Super League

Referee: L Piccolo

Luzern

U T U S S

1–1

Full-time

Winterthur

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Super League · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 34%

38%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

54%

43%

Both score Ø 53%

62%

43%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

14 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 4. · Winterthur 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	14	9	4	1	+23	31
2	Servette	14	6	6	2	+4	24
3	St. Gallen	15	6	3	6	+4	21
4	Luzern	13	5	4	4	+5	19
5	Sion	14	5	4	5	-1	19
6	Basel	13	4	5	4	+3	17
7	Grasshoppers	15	4	5	6	-3	17
8	Lugano	14	5	2	7	-4	17
9	Winterthur	14	4	3	7	-16	15
10	Zurich	14	1	6	7	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	7	5	2	0	+13	17
2	St. Gallen	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Servette	7	4	3	0	+5	15
4	Basel	7	3	3	1	+5	12
5	Grasshoppers	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Winterthur	8	3	2	3	-10	11
7	Luzern	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Sion	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Lugano	6	2	0	4	-4	6
10	Zurich	7	0	3	4	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	7	4	2	1	+10	14
2	Luzern	7	3	2	2	+4	11
3	Sion	7	3	2	2	+2	11
4	Lugano	8	3	2	3	+0	11
5	Servette	7	2	3	2	-1	9
6	Grasshoppers	8	1	3	4	-5	6
7	Zurich	7	1	3	3	-6	6
8	Basel	6	1	2	3	-2	5
9	St. Gallen	7	1	1	5	-4	4
10	Winterthur	6	1	1	4	-6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.