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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Ross County
T S U T T
3–2
Full-time
St Mirren
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
15%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
38%
58%
Both score Ø 32%
38%
25%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 12. · St Mirren 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 12 11 0 1 +33 33
2 Rangers 12 9 2 1 +20 29
3 Aberdeen 13 7 1 5 +6 22
4 Hibernian 14 6 2 6 -2 20
5 St Mirren 12 6 1 5 -5 19
6 Livingston 13 6 1 6 -6 19
7 Hearts 12 5 2 5 -1 17
8 Motherwell 13 5 1 7 +0 16
9 ST Johnstone 13 5 1 7 -3 16
10 Kilmarnock 14 3 3 8 -12 12
11 Dundee United 13 2 3 8 -15 9
12 Ross County 13 2 3 8 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Aug -22 St Mirren – Ross County 1–0 5. Mar -22 Ross County – St Mirren 1–0 1. Dec -21 St Mirren – Ross County 0–0 16. Oct -21 Ross County – St Mirren 2–3 21. Apr -21 Ross County – St Mirren 1–3

Match report

Ross County St Mirren
1–0 J. White ⚽
V. Loturi
10′
13′
⚽ R. Strain 1–1
K. Watson 🔁
↦ J. Baldwin
26′
Victor Loturi 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–2
47′
⚽ M. O'Hara 1–2
2–2 J. Tillson ⚽
56′
3–2 G. Harmon ⚽
O. Edwards
60′
62′
🔁 S. Tanser
↦ E. Erhahon
62′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ A. Gogić
63′
🟨 Curtis Main
67′
🟨 Mark O'Hara
68′
🟨 Jonah Ayunga
D. Cancola 🔁
↦ V. Loturi
73′
73′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ C. Main
78′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ M. Fraser
W. Akio 🔁
↦ J. Hiwula-Mayifuila
81′
D. Samuel 🔁
↦ O. Edwards
82′
Jordan White 🟨
92′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Ross County

4-2-3-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
12 C. Johnson D
5 J. Baldwin D
6 A. Iacovitti D
16 G. Harmon D
22 J. Tillson M
14 V. Loturi M
7 O. Edwards M
10 Y. Dhanda M
19 J. Hiwula-Mayifuila M
26 J. White F
Bench (8)
15 K. Watson
4 D. Cancola
18 W. Akio
9 D. Samuel
21 R. Munro
31 J. Eastwood
17 K. Olaigbe
30 D. Smith

Coach: M. Mackay

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
13 A. Gogić D
31 D. Gallagher D
18 C. Dunne D
22 M. Fraser D
17 K. Baccus M
16 E. Erhahon M
6 M. O'Hara M
7 J. Ayunga F
10 C. Main F
Bench (9)
3 S. Tanser
21 A. Greive
9 E. Brophy
11 G. Kiltie
8 R. Flynn
27 P. Urminský
4 J. Shaughnessy
32 L. Kenny
12 J. Henderson

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,00
🔒
U
3,18
🔒
B
2,42
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,20
🔒
U2,5
1,65
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.