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LaLiga2
Referee: David Gálvez
Burgos
S S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Tenerife
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Tenerife
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
21%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
14%
29%
Both score Ø 29%
7%
50%
Average goals
1,1
2,1
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
0,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Burgos 2. · Tenerife 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 15 8 6 1 +6 30
2 Burgos 14 7 6 1 +9 27
3 Las Palmas 14 7 5 2 +9 26
4 Eibar 14 7 4 3 +5 25
5 Cartagena 14 7 3 4 +5 24
6 Levante 14 6 5 3 +5 23
7 Granada 14 6 4 4 +5 22
8 Albacete 14 5 7 2 +3 22
9 Andorra 14 6 3 5 +3 21
10 Huesca 14 5 5 4 +3 20
11 Sp Gijon 14 5 5 4 +1 20
12 Villarreal B 14 5 5 4 +0 20
13 Leganes 14 5 2 7 -1 17
14 Zaragoza 15 4 4 7 -4 16
15 Ponferradina 14 4 4 6 -6 16
16 Santander 14 3 6 5 -3 15
17 Tenerife 14 3 5 6 -3 14
18 Lugo 14 3 4 7 -4 13
19 Oviedo 14 3 4 7 -5 13
20 Mirandes 14 2 6 6 -6 12
21 Ibiza 14 3 2 9 -12 11
22 Malaga 14 2 3 9 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Tenerife
-5′
🟥 Borja Garcés
Grego Sierra 🟨
2′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 José Ángel Jurado de la Torre
Raúl Navarro 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
59′
Mourad 🔁
↦ Pablo Valcarce
59′
Gaspar Campos 🔁
↦ Álex Bermejo
60′
61′
🔁 Elady Zorrilla
↦ Teto
77′
ℹ️ Jeremy Mellot
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Juan Hernández 🔁
↦ Grego
79′
79′
Elady Zorrilla 0–1
Mourad El Ghezouani 🟨
82′
82′
🟨 Iván Romero
83′
🟨 Enric Gallego
Saúl Berjón 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
85′
85′
🔁 Nacho Martínez
↦ Borja Garcés
José Antonio Caro 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Sergio González
89′
🔁 José León
↦ Iván Romero
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 José Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego D
23 José Matos D
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
16 Curro Sánchez M
22 Miki Muñoz M
10 Álex Bermejo M
8 Pablo Valcarce F
Bench (9)
6 Raúl Navarro
9 Mourad
11 Gaspar Campos
15 Juan Hernández
21 Saúl Berjón
19 Jesús Areso
3 Fran García
1 Dani Barrio
4 Míchel Zabaco

Coach: Julián Calero

Tenerife

4-4-2
1 Juan Soriano G
2 Aitor Buñuel D
23 N. Šipčić D
5 Sergio González D
22 J. Mellot D
31 Teto M
8 Javi Alonso M
20 José Jurado M
19 Iván Romero M
18 Enric Gallego F
9 Borja Garcés F
Bench (12)
7 Elady Zorrilla
24 Nacho Martínez
4 José León
27 Alassán
30 Victor
26 David Rodríguez
12 Andoni López
11 M. Dauda
21 A. Appiah
34 Daniel Selma
13 Javi Díaz
15 Pablo Larrea

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U
2,90
B ✓
3,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,77
U2,5 ✓
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Gálvez · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.