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Serie B

Referee: M Di Bello

Frosinone

T S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Perugia

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 46%

73%

18%

Points per game

2,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 41%

36%

45%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Frosinone 1. · Perugia 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	11	8	0	3	+10	24
2	Genoa	11	6	4	1	+6	22
3	Ternana	12	6	3	3	+4	21
4	Bari	12	5	5	2	+6	20
5	Reggina	11	6	1	4	+11	19
6	Parma	11	5	4	2	+5	19
7	Ascoli	12	5	4	3	+3	19
8	Brescia	12	5	4	3	-1	19
9	Sudtirol	12	5	4	3	-1	19
10	Cagliari	12	4	4	4	-1	16
11	Spal	12	3	6	3	+2	15
12	Cittadella	12	3	6	3	-2	15
13	Pisa	12	3	5	4	+2	14
14	Modena	12	4	1	7	-1	13
15	Palermo	11	3	3	5	-4	12
16	Benevento	12	2	5	5	-3	11
17	Cosenza	12	3	2	7	-10	11
18	Venezia	11	2	3	6	-6	9
19	Como	11	2	3	6	-10	9
20	Perugia	11	2	1	8	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Parma	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Reggina	5	4	0	1	+12	12
4	Brescia	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Ternana	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Spal	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Cagliari	6	3	1	2	-1	10
8	Modena	6	3	0	3	+3	9
9	Sudtirol	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Cittadella	6	2	3	1	+0	9
11	Pisa	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Palermo	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Como	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Ascoli	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	Genoa	5	1	4	0	+1	7
16	Bari	5	1	3	1	+2	6
17	Cosenza	5	2	0	3	+0	6
18	Benevento	7	1	3	3	-3	6
19	Perugia	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Venezia	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Bari	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Ascoli	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Ternana	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Sudtirol	6	3	1	2	-2	10
6	Frosinone	6	3	0	3	+1	9
7	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Reggina	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Brescia	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	Parma	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Pisa	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Cagliari	6	1	3	2	+0	6
13	Cittadella	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Benevento	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	Spal	6	0	5	1	-2	5
16	Cosenza	7	1	2	4	-10	5
17	Modena	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Palermo	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Perugia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
20	Como	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.