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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
1–2
Full-time
St Truiden
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Seraing United St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 29%
20%
38%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
6 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Seraing United 18. · St Truiden 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 14 13 1 0 +30 40
2 St. Gilloise 13 11 1 1 +16 34
3 Antwerp 14 11 0 3 +14 33
4 Club Brugge 14 10 1 3 +17 31
5 Gent 13 7 2 4 +9 23
6 St Truiden 16 6 5 5 -1 23
7 Anderlecht 15 7 1 7 +9 22
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15 6 4 5 +0 22
9 Charleroi 17 7 1 9 -6 22
10 Standard 12 7 0 5 +3 21
11 Cercle Brugge 13 5 4 4 +2 19
12 Mechelen 17 5 3 9 -7 18
13 Westerlo 13 5 2 6 -5 17
14 Kortrijk 16 4 3 9 -12 15
15 Oostende 16 4 3 9 -13 15
16 Waregem 17 4 3 10 -15 15
17 Eupen 16 4 0 12 -18 12
18 Seraing United 15 3 2 10 -11 11
19 Seraing 16 3 2 11 -12 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Seraing United St Truiden
5′
ℹ️ Shinji Okazaki
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Sandro Trémoulet 🟨
6′
Steve Mvoué 🟨
17′
Steve Mvoué 🟨
44′
Steve Mvoué 🟥
44′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Vagner
47′
54′
🟨 Wolke Janssens
56′
🔁 A. Koita
↦ W. Janssens
M. Dembélé 🔁
↦ V. Guillaume
58′
A. Bernier 🔁
↦ Sérgio Conceição
68′
70′
🔁 S. Van Dessel
↦ F. Boya
77′
D. Hayashi 1–1
L. Abanda 🔁
↦ M. Poaty
78′
79′
G. Bruno 1–2
S. Van Dessel
Vagner Dias 🟨
83′
Mathieu Cachbach 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Seraing United

3-4-3
1 T. Galjé G
40 D. Opare D
99 M. Mbow D
17 S. Trémoulet D
21 M. Sambu M
5 S. Mvoué M
6 M. Cachbach M
18 M. Poaty M
35 Sérgio Conceição F
7 Vagner F
14 V. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
25 M. Dembélé
12 A. Bernier
11 L. Abanda
28 D. Bunchukov
16 T. Martin
29 E. Ifoni
4 M. Tshibuabua

Coach: J. Legros

St Truiden

3-5-2
21 D. Schmidt G
3 A. Al-Dakhil D
37 T. Leistner D
20 R. Bauer D
22 W. Janssens M
30 S. Okazaki M
27 F. Boya M
44 C. Brüls M
77 E. Bocat M
8 D. Hayashi F
91 G. Bruno F
Bench (7)
7 A. Koita
19 S. Van Dessel
26 Jorge Teixeira
14 O. Dumont
4 D. Hashioka
16 M. Smets
12 J. Coppens

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.