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Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Hoffenheim

T S S T U

1–3

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

4,3

Scored

1,8

3,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+2,0

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

42%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%

11 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 8. · RB Leipzig 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Union Berlin	12	8	2	2	+12	26
2	Bayern Munich	12	7	4	1	+28	25
3	Freiburg	12	7	3	2	+5	24
4	Dortmund	12	7	1	4	+5	22
5	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	2	4	+5	20
6	RB Leipzig	12	5	4	3	+4	19
7	M'gladbach	13	5	4	4	+3	19
8	Hoffenheim	12	5	3	4	+5	18
9	Werder Bremen	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Mainz	12	5	3	4	-1	18
11	FC Koln	12	4	5	3	-3	17
12	Wolfsburg	12	3	5	4	-2	14
13	Augsburg	12	4	2	6	-6	14
14	Hertha	12	2	5	5	-3	11
15	Stuttgart	13	2	5	6	-8	11
16	Leverkusen	12	2	3	7	-9	9
17	Bochum	12	2	1	9	-21	7
18	Schalke 04	12	1	3	8	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Union Berlin	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	M'gladbach	7	5	0	2	+8	15
4	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+15	14
5	Dortmund	6	4	1	1	+7	13
6	FC Koln	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	1	3	+3	10
8	Hoffenheim	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+2	10
10	Wolfsburg	6	2	3	1	+3	9
11	Stuttgart	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Werder Bremen	6	2	1	3	+1	7
13	Hertha	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Bochum	6	2	1	3	-6	7
15	Mainz	5	1	3	1	+2	6
16	Leverkusen	6	1	2	3	-1	5
17	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-6	5
18	Schalke 04	6	1	1	4	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Freiburg	7	4	2	1	+3	14
2	Mainz	7	4	0	3	-3	12
3	Bayern Munich	6	3	2	1	+13	11
4	Werder Bremen	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Union Berlin	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Augsburg	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	-2	9
9	Hoffenheim	6	2	2	2	+3	8
10	FC Koln	6	1	3	2	-6	6
11	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Hertha	6	1	1	4	-3	4
13	M'gladbach	6	0	4	2	-5	4
14	Leverkusen	6	1	1	4	-8	4
15	Stuttgart	6	0	3	3	-8	3
16	RB Leipzig	6	0	3	3	-8	3
17	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Bochum	6	0	0	6	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.