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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Celtic
S S U S T
4–2
Full-time
Dundee United
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 54%
92%
15%
Points per game
2,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
75%
54%
Both score Ø 44%
42%
46%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
3,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,8
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

74% Possession 26%
24 Shots 6
12 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Dundee United 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 12 11 0 1 +33 33
2 Rangers 12 9 2 1 +20 29
3 Aberdeen 13 7 1 5 +6 22
4 Hibernian 14 6 2 6 -2 20
5 St Mirren 12 6 1 5 -5 19
6 Livingston 13 6 1 6 -6 19
7 Hearts 12 5 2 5 -1 17
8 Motherwell 13 5 1 7 +0 16
9 ST Johnstone 13 5 1 7 -3 16
10 Kilmarnock 14 3 3 8 -12 12
11 Dundee United 13 2 3 8 -15 9
12 Ross County 13 2 3 8 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Dundee United
1–0 S. Hakšabanović
Jota
6′
10′
ℹ️ Steven Fletcher
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Alexandro Bernabei 🟨
11′
12′
S. Fletcher 1–1
2–1 S. Hakšabanović
G. Giakoumakis
34′
Half-time 2–1
G. Taylor 🔁
↦ A. Bernabei
46′
64′
🔁 D. Levitt
↦ A. Djoum
L. Abada 🔁
↦ S. Hakšabanović
65′
K. Furuhashi 🔁
↦ G. Giakoumakis
65′
71′
🔁 G. Middleton
↦ S. Fletcher
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ Jota
76′
76′
🔁 A. Meekison
↦ J. McGrath
76′
🔁 T. Watt
↦ I. Harkes
87′
D. Levitt 2–2
A. Behich
88′
🟨 Kieran Freeman
D. Maeda 🔁
↦ D. Turnbull
88′
3–2 K. Furuhashi
A. Ralston
90′
Moritz Jenz 🟨
91′
Liel Abada 🟨
92′
4–2 L. Abada
M. O'Riley
92′
95′
🟨 Dylan Levitt
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
56 A. Ralston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 M. Jenz D
25 A. Bernabei D
14 D. Turnbull M
33 M. O'Riley M
41 R. Hatate M
9 S. Hakšabanović F
7 G. Giakoumakis F
17 Jota F
Bench (9)
3 G. Taylor
11 L. Abada
8 K. Furuhashi
49 J. Forrest
38 D. Maeda
4 C. Starfelt
28 O. Abildgaard
31 B. Siegrist
13 A. Mooy

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Dundee United

3-5-1-1
1 M. Birighitti G
2 L. Smith D
12 R. Edwards D
3 S. McMann D
22 K. Freeman M
23 I. Harkes M
10 A. Djoum M
14 C. Sibbald M
16 A. Behich M
18 J. McGrath F
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
19 D. Levitt
15 G. Middleton
17 A. Meekison
32 T. Watt
13 C. Eriksson
7 I. Niskanen
6 R. Graham
8 P. Pawlett
20 S. Anaku

Coach: L. Fox

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,09
U
9,94
B
23,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,29
U2,5
3,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.