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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Valladolid
U T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Elche
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
42%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 11. · Elche 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 12 10 2 0 +19 32
2 Barcelona 12 10 1 1 +25 31
3 Ath Madrid 12 7 2 3 +8 23
4 Betis 12 7 2 3 +8 23
5 Sociedad 12 7 1 4 +1 22
6 Ath Bilbao 13 6 3 4 +7 21
7 Osasuna 12 6 2 4 +2 20
8 Villarreal 12 5 3 4 +6 18
9 Vallecano 12 5 3 4 +3 18
10 Valencia 12 4 3 5 +4 15
11 Valladolid 12 4 2 6 -6 14
12 Getafe 13 3 5 5 -7 14
13 Girona 13 3 4 6 -3 13
14 Mallorca 12 3 4 5 -3 13
15 Almeria 12 4 1 7 -5 13
16 Espanol 12 2 5 5 -5 11
17 Celta 12 3 2 7 -11 11
18 Cadiz 13 2 5 6 -16 11
19 Sevilla 12 2 4 6 -8 10
20 Elche 12 0 4 8 -19 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,82
U
3,72
B
4,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.