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Serie B
Parma
S T T U U
0–0
Full-time
Monza
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Monza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

17 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 9
10 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Parma 13. · Monza 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 8 6 1 1 +10 19
2 Cremonese 8 5 1 2 +5 16
3 Lecce 8 4 3 1 +5 15
4 Brescia 8 4 2 2 +6 14
5 Ascoli 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Benevento 8 3 4 1 +5 13
7 Perugia 8 3 4 1 +4 13
8 Reggina 8 3 4 1 +1 13
9 Cittadella 7 4 0 3 -1 12
10 Frosinone 8 2 5 1 +3 11
11 Cosenza 8 3 2 3 -2 11
12 Ternana 8 3 1 4 -3 10
13 Parma 7 2 3 2 +2 9
14 Como 8 2 3 3 -1 9
15 Monza 7 2 3 2 -1 9
16 Spal 7 2 2 3 +3 8
17 Crotone 8 1 4 3 -5 7
18 Alessandria 8 1 1 6 -9 4
19 Vicenza 8 1 0 7 -7 3
20 Pordenone 8 0 1 7 -17 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U ✓
3,28
B
3,49
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.