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Super League
Referee: I Papadopoulos
AEK
S U S T S
3–0
Full-time
Atromitos
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,3
This season — Super League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 5. · Atromitos 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 6 4 1 1 +5 13
2 Volos NFC 6 4 1 1 +3 13
3 Olympiakos 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 Panathinaikos 7 3 1 3 +8 10
5 AEK 5 3 1 1 +4 10
6 Giannina 5 2 3 0 +2 9
7 Aris Thessalonikis 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Aris 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 OFI Crete 7 1 5 1 -1 8
10 Ionikos 7 2 2 3 -5 8
11 Panetolikos 6 1 2 3 -3 5
12 Asteras Tripolis 6 1 2 3 -3 5
13 Lamia 5 1 1 3 -2 4
14 Apollon 7 0 3 4 -10 3
15 Atromitos 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Atromitos
1–0 S. Araújo
L. Garcia
24′
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ D. Jevtić
35′
Ognjen Vranješ 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
Damian Szymański 🟨
47′
66′
🟨 Lucas Galvão
N. Amrabat 🔁
↦ L. Garcia
67′
D. Le Tallec 🔁
↦ D. Szymański
68′
69′
🔁 Thomas
↦ E. Koulouris
69′
🔁 S. Spiridonović
↦ Juan Muñiz
2–0 S. Zuber
78′
3–0 O. Vranješ
P. Mantalos
80′
Y. Shakhov 🔁
↦ André Simões
84′
K. Ansarifard 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
84′
85′
🔁 K. Kotsopoulos
↦ V. Klonaridis
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
23 C. Stanković G
21 O. Vranješ D
3 M. Mohammadi D
12 L. Rota D
24 G. Mitoglou D
17 S. Zuber M
8 André Simões M
88 D. Jevtić M
4 D. Szymański M
11 S. Araújo F
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
20 P. Mantalos
7 N. Amrabat
6 D. Le Tallec
28 Y. Shakhov
10 K. Ansarifard
26 E. Hajsafi
31 G. Tzavellas
19 C. Michelin
1 P. Tsintotas

Coach: A. Giannikis

Atromitos

3-4-3
1 K. Pirić G
33 Dani Castellano D
3 Lucas Galvão D
5 D. Chatziisaias D
2 S. Vasilantonopoulos M
29 S. Stroungis D
21 P. Salomon M
14 Juan Muñiz M
4 Đ. Denić M
22 V. Klonaridis F
20 E. Koulouris F
Bench (9)
10 Thomas
77 S. Spiridonović
23 K. Kotsopoulos
6 S. Natsos
11 M. Pisano
12 N. Athanasiou
92 A. Gianniotis
24 T. Mavromatis
19 K. Kivrakidis

Coach: G. Paraschos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,33
U
4,98
B
8,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Papadopoulos · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
32,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.