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Serie A

Referee: M Marchetti

Cagliari

T U T T U

3–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

2,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 9

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 20. · Sampdoria 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	8	7	1	0	+11	22
2	Napoli	7	7	0	0	+15	21
3	Inter	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Roma	7	5	0	2	+8	15
5	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Fiorentina	7	4	0	3	-1	12
7	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Atalanta	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Bologna	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	Empoli	7	3	0	4	-3	9
11	Torino	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	Verona	8	2	2	4	+0	8
13	Udinese	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Sassuolo	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Spezia	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Sampdoria	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Genoa	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Venezia	7	1	2	4	-7	5
19	Salernitana	8	1	1	6	-11	4
20	Cagliari	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Roma	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Bologna	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
7	Verona	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Torino	4	1	1	2	+2	4
9	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Spezia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Cagliari	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Inter	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Milan	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
5	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Empoli	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Lazio	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-8	4
15	Roma	3	1	0	2	+2	3
16	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Verona	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Salernitana	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.