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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

Sparta Rotterdam

T T U T S

1–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 14. · Nijmegen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+5	7
4	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Willem II	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Cambuur	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	-6	6
10	Groningen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Twente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Cambuur	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Waalwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Groningen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	-3	6
3	Willem II	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
9	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.