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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Strasbourg

T S S T U

5–1

Full-time

St Etienne

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 73%

67%

78%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,6

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Strasbourg 13. · St Etienne 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	0	1	+14	27
2	Lens	9	5	3	1	+6	18
3	Nice	9	5	2	2	+12	17
4	Angers	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Lyon	10	4	4	2	+3	16
6	Marseille	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Monaco	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Lorient	9	3	5	1	+1	14
9	Lille	10	4	2	4	-2	14
10	Nantes	9	4	1	4	+3	13
11	Clermont	10	3	4	3	-7	13
12	Rennes	9	3	3	3	+3	12
13	Strasbourg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Montpellier	9	2	4	3	+0	10
15	Reims	9	2	4	3	-1	10
16	Troyes	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Bordeaux	9	1	4	4	-9	7
18	Metz	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Brest	9	0	4	5	-8	4
20	St Etienne	9	0	4	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Lyon	6	3	3	0	+6	12
3	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Angers	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Lorient	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Nantes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Lille	4	3	0	1	+0	9
8	Nice	4	2	2	0	+5	8
9	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Lens	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Clermont	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
13	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
14	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Troyes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	St Etienne	5	0	3	2	-4	3
18	Brest	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Metz	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Bordeaux	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Lens	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Nice	5	3	0	2	+7	9
4	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Monaco	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Angers	5	1	3	1	+1	6
7	Reims	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Lille	6	1	2	3	-2	5
9	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	-6	5
10	Clermont	5	1	2	2	-8	5
11	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Lorient	5	0	4	1	-2	4
13	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Lyon	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Troyes	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Metz	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Rennes	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.