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Serie A

Referee: D Orsato

Juventus

T U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Roma

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

43%

71%

Points per game

1,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,3

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

6 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 9. · Roma 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	8	8	0	0	+16	24
2	Milan	8	7	1	0	+11	22
3	Inter	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Roma	7	5	0	2	+8	15
5	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Atalanta	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Fiorentina	7	4	0	3	-1	12
8	Bologna	8	3	3	2	-2	12
9	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Udinese	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Empoli	8	3	0	5	-6	9
12	Torino	8	2	2	4	+1	8
13	Verona	8	2	2	4	+0	8
14	Sassuolo	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Spezia	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Sampdoria	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Genoa	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Venezia	7	1	2	4	-7	5
20	Salernitana	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Roma	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Bologna	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
7	Verona	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Cagliari	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Udinese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Torino	4	1	1	2	+2	4
11	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Spezia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Empoli	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Inter	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Milan	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
6	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Empoli	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Torino	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Lazio	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-8	4
16	Roma	3	1	0	2	+2	3
17	Verona	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-7	2
19	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Salernitana	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.