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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
Trabzonspor
U S U U S
3–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 69%
63%
75%
Points per game
2,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
38%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

73% Possession 27%
20 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Trabzonspor 2. · Fenerbahce 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 8 6 1 1 +6 19
2 Trabzonspor 8 5 3 0 +8 18
3 Besiktas 9 5 2 2 +7 17
4 Karagumruk 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 Galatasaray 9 5 2 2 +2 17
6 Hatayspor 8 5 1 2 +10 16
7 Altay 9 5 0 4 +1 15
8 Konyaspor 9 3 5 1 +3 14
9 Alanyaspor 8 4 2 2 -3 14
10 Ad. Demirspor 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Kayserispor 8 3 2 3 +1 11
12 Gaziantep 8 3 2 3 -1 11
13 Sivasspor 9 2 4 3 +2 10
14 Buyuksehyr 9 3 0 6 -1 9
15 Antalyaspor 9 2 3 4 -4 9
16 Yeni Malatyaspor 9 3 0 6 -7 9
17 Goztep 9 2 2 5 -4 8
18 Giresunspor 9 2 2 5 -4 8
19 Kasimpasa 9 1 3 5 -5 6
20 Rizespor 9 0 1 8 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Fenerbahce
Erce Kardeşler 🟨
-5′
3′
D. Rossi 0–1
E. Valencia
14′
🟨 Min-jae Kim
23′
🟨 Min-jae Kim
23′
🟥 Min-jae Kim
1–1 A. Bakasetas
25′
37′
🟨 Luiz Gustavo
Y. Sarı 🔁
↦ A. Nwakaeme
43′
Half-time 1–1
A. Trondsen 🔁
↦ S. Denswil
46′
D. Toköz 🔁
↦ Bruno Peres
51′
Edgar Ié 🟨
61′
61′
🟨 Enner Valencia
62′
🔁 S. Dursun
↦ E. Valencia
E. Siopis 🔁
↦ B. Özdemir
68′
A. Cornelius 🔁
↦ Y. Gervinho
68′
75′
🔁 M. Tisserand
↦ D. Rossi
75′
🔁 J. Sosa
↦ M. Özil
Andreas Cornelius ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
84′
85′
🟨 Attila Szalai
87′
🔁 D. Pelkas
↦ Miguel Crespo
87′
🔁 N. Sangaré
↦ F. Kadıoğlu
2–1 A. Bakasetas
87′
3–1 Y. Sarı
90′
Uğurcan Çakır 🟨
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-3-3
1 U. Çakır G
13 Vitor Hugo D
33 Bruno Peres D
24 S. Denswil D
32 Edgar Ié D
10 A. Ömür M
5 B. Özdemir M
27 Y. Gervinho F
9 A. Nwakaeme F
11 A. Bakasetas M
21 Djaniny F
Bench (10)
7 Y. Sarı
15 A. Trondsen
8 D. Toköz
6 E. Siopis
14 A. Cornelius
70 A. Kaplan
4 H. Türkmen
29 Y. Mallı
16 E. Kardeşler
23 İ. Köybaşı

Coach: A. Avcı

Fenerbahce

3-4-1-2
1 A. Bayındır G
37 F. Novák D
41 Attila Szalai D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
10 M. Özil F
20 Luiz Gustavo M
21 B. Osayi-Samuel M
27 Miguel Crespo M
16 F. Kadıoğlu M
13 E. Valencia F
9 D. Rossi F
Bench (10)
19 S. Dursun
32 M. Tisserand
5 J. Sosa
14 D. Pelkas
30 N. Sangaré
26 M. Zajc
6 M. Meyer
35 B. Özer
11 M. Berisha
23 M. Gümüşkaya

Coach: Vítor Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,39
U
3,28
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,99
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.