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Super League
Referee: E Gratsanis
Panetolikos
U S T U T
1–2
Full-time
OFI Crete
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Super League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
80%
33%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 10. · OFI Crete 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 5 4 0 1 +5 12
2 Volos NFC 5 4 0 1 +3 12
3 Olympiakos 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 Panathinaikos 7 3 1 3 +8 10
5 AEK 5 3 1 1 +4 10
6 Giannina 5 2 3 0 +2 9
7 Aris Thessalonikis 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Aris 5 2 2 1 +2 8
9 Ionikos 7 2 2 3 -5 8
10 Panetolikos 5 1 2 2 -2 5
11 OFI Crete 6 0 5 1 -2 5
12 Asteras Tripolis 6 1 2 3 -3 5
13 Lamia 5 1 1 3 -2 4
14 Apollon 7 0 3 4 -10 3
15 Atromitos 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos OFI Crete
1–0 N. Karelis
B. Lluy
7′
17′
A. Malis 2–0
own goal
23′
🟨 Juan Angel Neira
Half-time 2–0
57′
🔁 L. Castaignos
↦ Jon Toral
Nikolaos Karelis 🟨
60′
61′
J. Neira 2–1
R. Gestede 🔁
↦ J. Morsay
63′
D. Flores 🔁
↦ A. Tsigaras
64′
69′
🟨 Luc Castaignos
69′
🔁 F. Durmishaj
↦ L. Lamprou
70′
🔁 K. Giannoulis
↦ M. van Duinen
74′
🔁 V. Selimovic
↦ T. Pasalidis
K. Apostolakis 🔁
↦ F. Antunes
78′
D. Cornelius 🔁
↦ B. Lluy
79′
C. Belevonis 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
79′
88′
🟨 Konstantinos Giannoulis
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1
22 N. Melissas G
8 B. Lluy D
5 B. Vrgoč D
47 A. Malis D
4 F. Antunes M
6 I. Varone M
25 J. Morsay F
14 Frederico Duarte M
37 A. Tsigaras M
7 N. Karelis F
9 N. Vergos F
Bench (9)
39 R. Gestede
20 D. Flores
2 K. Apostolakis
13 D. Cornelius
18 C. Belevonis
24 D. Fytopoulos
45 M. Bakadimas
1 D. Rodríguez
41 S. Belevonis

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

OFI Crete

4-3-3
1 D. Epassy Mboka G
6 N. Marinakis D
14 P. Vouros D
4 T. Pasalidis D
29 M. Mellado M
21 Jon Toral M
38 K. Balogiannis M
8 J. Neira M
16 F. Gallegos M
9 M. van Duinen F
7 L. Lamprou F
Bench (9)
30 L. Castaignos
17 F. Durmishaj
18 K. Giannoulis
5 V. Selimovic
34 N. Korovesis
32 D. Sotiriou
13 V. Sifakis
10 A. Nabi
11 B. Kamau

Coach: N. Nioplias

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U
3,10
B ✓
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.