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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Willem II
S T S S U
2–1
Full-time
Groningen
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
0%
75%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 6. · Groningen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Ajax 4 3 1 0 +12 10
3 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0 +3 10
4 Nijmegen 5 2 2 1 -2 8
5 Utrecht 4 2 1 1 +5 7
6 Willem II 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +4 6
8 Cambuur 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Vitesse 4 2 0 2 -6 6
10 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -2 5
11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
12 Waalwijk 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 For Sittard 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Twente 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Go Ahead Eagles 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Heracles 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Zwolle 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Groningen
1–0 K. Wriedt
G. Sağlam
5′
Dries Saddiki 🟨
7′
19′
🟨 Bart Van Hintum
2–0 D. Saddiki
K. Wriedt
24′
Half-time 2–0
Pol Llonch 🟨
54′
58′
🔁 P. Abraham
↦ J. Larsen
58′
🔁 M. de Leeuw
↦ D. Irandust
59′
🔁 D. van Kaam
↦ Y. Kalley
V. Schippers 🔁
↦ L. Owusu
60′
61′
T. Suslov 2–1
Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 🟨
66′
68′
🟨 Cyril Ngonge
A. Kampetsis 🔁
↦ K. Wriedt
70′
G. Roemeratoe 🔁
↦ G. Sağlam
70′
70′
🔁 D. Dankerlui
↦ L. Duarte
77′
🔁 R. Postema
↦ P. Joosten
M. Svensson 🔁
↦ M. Köhlert
80′
J. Yeboah 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
80′
95′
🟥 Cyril Ngonge
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
21 T. Wellenreuther G
3 F. Heerkens D
4 U. Jenssen D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
23 G. Sağlam M
17 D. Saddiki M
9 K. Wriedt F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (11)
28 V. Schippers
10 A. Kampetsis
20 G. Roemeratoe
15 M. Svensson
19 J. Yeboah
25 N. Michelis
24 C. van den Berg
33 M. Schut
14 E. Kabangu
18 M. Nelom
5 E. Bergström

Coach: F. Grim

Groningen

3-4-3
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
3 B. van Hintum D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
15 Y. Kalley D
6 L. Duarte M
10 D. Irandust F
7 T. Suslov M
14 P. Joosten M
11 M. El Hankouri M
27 C. Ngonge F
9 J. Larsen F
Bench (9)
19 P. Abraham
8 M. de Leeuw
26 D. van Kaam
2 D. Dankerlui
29 R. Postema
16 J. Hoekstra
40 B. Meijer
30 E. Olsson
39 O. van der Vlag

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,34
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.