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Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Leverkusen

S T S S S

1–5

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,2

4,8

Scored

3,2

3,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+2,8

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 71%

71%

Points per game

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

71%

86%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

3,9

4,4

Scored

2,9

3,4

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,9

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–5

41% Possession 59%

7 Shots 27

4 Shots on target 11

1 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 3. · Bayern Munich 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	8	6	0	2	+8	18
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	1	1	+17	16
3	Leverkusen	7	5	1	1	+13	16
4	Freiburg	8	4	4	0	+6	16
5	Union Berlin	8	4	3	1	+3	15
6	Wolfsburg	8	4	1	3	-1	13
7	FC Koln	8	3	3	2	-1	12
8	RB Leipzig	8	3	2	3	+8	11
9	Hoffenheim	8	3	2	3	+6	11
10	M'gladbach	8	3	2	3	-1	11
11	Mainz	8	3	1	4	+0	10
12	Stuttgart	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Hertha	8	3	0	5	-11	9
14	Ein Frankfurt	8	1	5	2	-3	8
15	Bochum	8	2	1	5	-11	7
16	Augsburg	7	1	2	4	-10	5
17	Bielefeld	7	0	4	3	-7	4
18	Greuther Furth	8	0	1	7	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Union Berlin	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	FC Koln	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Bayern Munich	4	3	0	1	+12	9
5	RB Leipzig	4	3	0	1	+10	9
6	Freiburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	M'gladbach	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Hoffenheim	4	2	1	1	+5	7
9	Mainz	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Wolfsburg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Leverkusen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
12	Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	+3	6
13	Bochum	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Ein Frankfurt	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Bielefeld	4	0	3	1	-4	3
17	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-6	3
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Freiburg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Wolfsburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
5	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-10	6
6	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-2	5
7	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+1	4
8	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Dortmund	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-3	3
11	M'gladbach	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-4	3
13	Bochum	5	1	0	4	-11	3
14	RB Leipzig	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Augsburg	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	FC Koln	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.