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Premier League

Referee: A Marriner

Newcastle

U T U U T

2–3

Full-time

Tottenham

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Tottenham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

This season — Premier League · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

57%

Points per game

0,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 58%

86%

29%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

2,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

36% Possession 64%

7 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 9

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 4

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Newcastle 18. · Tottenham 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	8	6	1	1	+13	19
2	Liverpool	8	5	3	0	+16	18
3	Man City	8	5	2	1	+13	17
4	Brighton	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Man United	8	4	2	2	+6	14
6	West Ham	8	4	2	2	+5	14
7	Everton	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Brentford	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Wolves	8	4	0	4	+0	12
10	Tottenham	7	4	0	3	-4	12
11	Leicester	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Aston Villa	8	3	1	4	+0	10
13	Arsenal	7	3	1	3	-5	10
14	Crystal Palace	7	1	4	2	-3	7
15	Southampton	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	Watford	8	2	1	5	-8	7
17	Leeds	8	1	3	4	-8	6
18	Newcastle	7	0	3	4	-8	3
19	Burnley	8	0	3	5	-8	3
20	Norwich	8	0	2	6	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	4	3	1	0	+12	10
2	Chelsea	4	3	0	1	+7	9
3	Everton	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Tottenham	4	3	0	1	+0	9
5	Liverpool	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Man United	4	2	1	1	+6	7
7	Aston Villa	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Leicester	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Brighton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Crystal Palace	4	1	3	0	+3	6
11	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Southampton	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	West Ham	4	1	1	2	+1	4
14	Brentford	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Leeds	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Watford	4	1	1	2	-6	4
17	Wolves	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Burnley	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Norwich	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	4	3	1	0	+11	10
2	Chelsea	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	West Ham	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Wolves	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Brentford	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Brighton	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Man City	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Man United	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Everton	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Leicester	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Arsenal	4	1	1	2	-6	4
12	Watford	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	Aston Villa	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Tottenham	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Southampton	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Leeds	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Burnley	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Newcastle	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Crystal Palace	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Norwich	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.