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Serie A

Referee: J Sacchi

Napoli

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Torino

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Torino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 65%

100%

29%

Points per game

3,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,6

1,3

Conceded

0,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 2. · Torino 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	8	7	1	0	+11	22
2	Napoli	7	7	0	0	+15	21
3	Inter	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Roma	7	5	0	2	+8	15
5	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Atalanta	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Fiorentina	7	4	0	3	-1	12
8	Bologna	8	3	3	2	-2	12
9	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Udinese	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Empoli	8	3	0	5	-6	9
12	Torino	7	2	2	3	+2	8
13	Verona	8	2	2	4	+0	8
14	Sassuolo	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Spezia	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Sampdoria	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Genoa	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Venezia	7	1	2	4	-7	5
20	Salernitana	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Roma	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Bologna	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
7	Verona	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Cagliari	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Udinese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Torino	4	1	1	2	+2	4
11	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Spezia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Empoli	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Inter	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Milan	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
6	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Empoli	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Lazio	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-8	4
16	Roma	3	1	0	2	+2	3
17	Verona	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-7	2
19	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Salernitana	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.