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Serie B
Cittadella
T S T T S
0–0
Full-time
Spal
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
57%
29%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 5
26 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 9. · Spal 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 8 6 1 1 +10 19
2 Cremonese 8 5 1 2 +5 16
3 Lecce 8 4 3 1 +5 15
4 Brescia 8 4 2 2 +6 14
5 Ascoli 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Benevento 8 3 4 1 +5 13
7 Perugia 8 3 4 1 +4 13
8 Reggina 8 3 4 1 +1 13
9 Cittadella 7 4 0 3 -1 12
10 Frosinone 8 2 5 1 +3 11
11 Cosenza 8 3 2 3 -2 11
12 Parma 8 2 4 2 +2 10
13 Monza 8 2 4 2 -1 10
14 Ternana 8 3 1 4 -3 10
15 Como 8 2 3 3 -1 9
16 Spal 7 2 2 3 +3 8
17 Crotone 8 1 4 3 -5 7
18 Alessandria 8 1 1 6 -9 4
19 Vicenza 8 1 0 7 -7 3
20 Pordenone 8 0 1 7 -17 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U ✓
3,13
B
3,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.