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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Vitesse

S U S T U

3–2

Full-time

Willem II

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 18/21 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

61%

57%

Both score Ø 60%

67%

52%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

20 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 9

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 12. · Willem II 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	22	18	3	1	+58	57
2	Ajax	21	16	2	3	+53	50
3	Feyenoord	21	13	3	5	+20	42
4	AZ Alkmaar	22	12	4	6	+20	40
5	Heracles	21	10	2	9	+0	32
6	VVV Venlo	22	8	5	9	-10	29
7	Den Haag	22	7	6	9	-11	27
8	Utrecht	19	7	5	7	+1	26
9	For Sittard	22	7	5	10	-12	26
10	Willem II	21	7	4	10	-7	25
11	Zwolle	22	7	4	11	-9	25
12	Vitesse	18	6	6	6	+1	24
13	Heerenveen	22	5	9	8	-5	24
14	FC Emmen	21	6	6	9	-20	24
15	Excelsior	21	6	4	11	-23	22
16	Groningen	19	6	3	10	-3	21
17	De Graafschap	21	5	3	13	-28	18
18	NAC Breda	21	4	4	13	-25	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+40	33
2	Feyenoord	11	10	0	1	+21	30
3	Ajax	10	8	2	0	+36	26
4	Heracles	11	8	0	3	+13	24
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	3	2	+15	21
6	VVV Venlo	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	For Sittard	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Utrecht	10	5	2	3	+8	17
9	De Graafschap	11	5	1	5	+1	16
10	Vitesse	8	4	3	1	+3	15
11	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	-5	15
12	Excelsior	11	4	3	4	-7	15
13	NAC Breda	11	4	2	5	-4	14
14	Zwolle	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Groningen	9	3	1	5	+2	10
16	FC Emmen	11	2	4	5	-7	10
17	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Heerenveen	11	1	5	5	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+18	24
2	Ajax	11	8	0	3	+17	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	1	4	+5	19
4	Willem II	11	5	2	4	-2	17
5	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+4	16
6	Zwolle	11	4	2	5	-5	14
7	FC Emmen	10	4	2	4	-13	14
8	Feyenoord	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Den Haag	11	3	3	5	-6	12
10	Groningen	10	3	2	5	-5	11
11	VVV Venlo	12	3	2	7	-17	11
12	Vitesse	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Utrecht	9	2	3	4	-7	9
14	Heracles	10	2	2	6	-13	8
15	For Sittard	11	2	2	7	-18	8
16	Excelsior	10	2	1	7	-16	7
17	NAC Breda	10	0	2	8	-21	2
18	De Graafschap	10	0	2	8	-29	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.