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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Den Haag
U T T U U
5–0
Full-time
Utrecht
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 28/25 matches
Win Ø 35%
25%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
54%
60%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
2 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 13. · Utrecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 28 22 4 2 +65 70
2 Ajax 28 22 2 4 +71 68
3 AZ Alkmaar 28 15 6 7 +23 51
4 Feyenoord 28 15 5 8 +24 50
5 Heracles 26 13 3 10 +2 42
6 Utrecht 25 11 7 7 +11 40
7 Willem II 28 12 4 12 -5 40
8 Vitesse 25 9 9 7 +7 36
9 Heerenveen 28 9 9 10 -5 36
10 Groningen 26 10 5 11 +0 35
11 VVV Venlo 28 9 6 13 -16 33
12 Zwolle 28 9 5 14 -12 32
13 Den Haag 28 7 9 12 -17 30
14 For Sittard 28 8 6 14 -19 30
15 Excelsior 28 7 5 16 -29 26
16 De Graafschap 28 7 4 17 -26 25
17 FC Emmen 28 6 7 15 -36 25
18 NAC Breda 28 5 6 17 -38 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Utrecht
1–0 L. Immers
11′
2–0 A. Meijers
S. Becker
36′
3–0 D. Bakker
A. El Khayati
37′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 M. Kramer
↦ O. Boussaid
46′
🔁 M. van der Maarel
↦ T. Letschert
M. Lorenzen 🔁
↦ E. Falkenburg
64′
66′
🔁 L. Guwara
↦ N. Gavory
T. Goppel 🔁
↦ S. Becker
72′
T. Necid 🔁
↦ D. Bakker
77′
81′
🟨 Gyrano Kerk
4–0 T. Necid
A. El Khayati
83′
5–0 L. Immers
90′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
19 S. Pinas D
30 E. Falkenburg F
10 L. Immers M
2 D. Malone M
23 A. El Khayati M
11 J. Goossens M
17 D. Bakker M
7 S. Becker F
Bench (12)
33 M. Lorenzen
26 T. Goppel
9 T. Necid
77 E. Hooi
25 R. Polley
5 W. Kanon
21 M. Rieder
1 I. Groothuizen
28 M. van Kins
34 Y. Boussakou
18 M. Havekotte
6 D. Gorter

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 D. Jensen G
14 W. Janssen D
15 T. Letschert D
17 S. Klaiber D
8 J. van Overeem M
23 R. Bazoer M
22 S. van de Streek M
24 N. Gavory D
10 Simon Gustafson M
7 G. Kerk F
26 O. Boussaid M
Bench (9)
30 M. Kramer
2 M. van der Maarel
5 L. Guwara
29 N. Venema
27 L. Görtler
16 N. Marsman
6 R. Strieder
19 J. Bahebeck
28 U. Emanuelson

Coach: D. Advocaat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.