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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Benfica

S S S S T

2–3

Full-time

Sp Braga

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 2. · Sp Braga 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+15	19
2	Benfica	6	5	0	1	+9	15
3	Porto	7	4	1	2	+8	13
4	Sp Braga	6	4	0	2	+4	12
5	Nacional	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	Santa Clara	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Rio Ave	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Guimaraes	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	Famalicao	7	2	3	2	-3	9
10	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Moreirense	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Tondela	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Belenenses	7	1	4	2	-2	7
14	Maritimo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Boavista	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Farense	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Gil Vicente	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Portimonense	7	1	1	5	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Porto	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Moreirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Tondela	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Nacional	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Pacos Ferreira	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Farense	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Belenenses	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Boavista	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Guimaraes	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Guimaraes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Rio Ave	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Santa Clara	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Porto	3	1	1	1	+4	4
8	Famalicao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Nacional	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Boavista	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Portimonense	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Farense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Gil Vicente	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.