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Allsvenskan
Varberg
U T T U T
5–2
Full-time
Hammarby
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 33%
27%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
54%
65%
Both score Ø 62%
58%
65%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Varberg 12. · Hammarby 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 26 15 8 3 +27 53
2 Elfsborg 27 11 13 3 +10 46
3 Hacken 27 11 11 5 +13 44
4 Djurgarden 26 12 6 8 +13 42
5 Norrkoping 27 11 7 9 +11 40
6 Hammarby 26 10 10 6 +5 40
7 Mjallby 27 10 8 9 +1 38
8 Sirius 26 9 10 7 -1 37
9 Orebro 26 10 6 10 -3 36
10 AIK 26 9 8 9 -1 35
11 Ostersunds 27 8 9 10 -7 33
12 Varberg 26 7 7 12 -6 28
13 Goteborg 26 4 12 10 -13 24
14 Falkenbergs 27 5 8 14 -17 23
15 Helsingborg 26 4 10 12 -14 22
16 Kalmar 26 4 9 13 -18 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Jul -20 Hammarby – Varberg 1–0

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.