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2. Bundesliga

Darmstadt

U S U U S

0–4

Full-time

Paderborn

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

4 Shots 25

2 Shots on target 13

1 Corners 8

11 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Darmstadt 8. · Paderborn 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Greuther Furth	7	3	3	1	+6	12
3	Holstein Kiel	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Bochum	7	3	2	2	+1	11
5	Hannover	7	3	1	3	+3	10
6	Osnabruck	6	2	4	0	+2	10
7	Regensburg	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Darmstadt	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Erzgebirge Aue	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Heidenheim	7	2	2	3	+1	8
11	Paderborn	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Sandhausen	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Braunschweig	7	2	2	3	-6	8
15	St Pauli	6	1	4	1	+1	7
16	Nurnberg	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	Karlsruhe	6	1	1	4	-2	4
18	Wurzburger Kickers	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Hamburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Heidenheim	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Sandhausen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Regensburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Osnabruck	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Braunschweig	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Paderborn	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Holstein Kiel	3	2	0	1	+0	6
11	Erzgebirge Aue	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Bochum	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+2	4
16	Karlsruhe	3	1	0	2	+1	3
17	Darmstadt	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Wurzburger Kickers	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Darmstadt	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Bochum	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Holstein Kiel	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Erzgebirge Aue	4	1	1	2	-2	4
7	Osnabruck	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	St Pauli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
9	Nurnberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Paderborn	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Regensburg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Karlsruhe	3	0	1	2	-3	1
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-8	1
15	Heidenheim	3	0	0	3	-4	0
16	Hannover	3	0	0	3	-5	0
17	Sandhausen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Wurzburger Kickers	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.