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Serie B
1–5
Full-time
Lecce
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Virtus Entella Lecce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
20%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
1,6
2,5
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

8 Shots 28
1 Shots on target 14
3 Corners 9
17 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Virtus Entella 16. · Lecce 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Empoli 7 5 1 1 +7 16
2 Salernitana 7 4 2 1 +6 14
3 Chievo 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 +2 13
5 Spal 7 3 3 1 +3 12
6 Cittadella 6 3 1 2 +4 10
7 Venezia 6 3 1 2 +4 10
8 Monza 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Lecce 6 2 3 1 +1 9
10 Brescia 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Pordenone 7 1 5 1 -1 8
12 Reggina 7 1 4 2 -2 7
13 Reggiana 6 2 1 3 -2 7
14 Vicenza 6 1 3 2 -1 6
15 Cosenza 7 0 5 2 -3 5
16 Virtus Entella 5 0 4 1 -2 4
17 Ascoli 6 1 1 4 -4 4
18 Pisa 6 0 4 2 -5 4
19 Pescara 7 1 1 5 -9 4
20 Cremonese 6 0 3 3 -4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,00
U
2,96
B ✓
2,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.