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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Gent
S T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
5,2
4,0
Scored
3,0
2,7
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 44%
42%
45%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
75%
64%
Both score Ø 83%
75%
91%
Average goals
3,6
3,6
Scored
1,9
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 12. · Anderlecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Beerschot VA 13 8 1 4 +4 25
2 Charleroi 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Genk 12 6 5 1 +7 23
4 Antwerp 12 6 4 2 +7 22
5 Standard 12 6 4 2 +5 22
6 Anderlecht 11 5 6 0 +10 21
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 6 3 3 +2 21
8 Club Brugge 11 6 2 3 +16 20
9 Kortrijk 14 5 4 5 +0 19
10 Eupen 13 3 7 3 -4 16
11 Oostende 10 4 3 3 +7 15
12 Gent 12 5 0 7 +3 15
13 Cercle Brugge 10 5 0 5 +1 15
14 Waregem 13 4 2 7 -9 14
15 Mechelen 10 3 3 4 -3 12
16 St Truiden 11 2 3 6 -9 9
17 Waasland-Beveren 10 1 2 7 -13 5
18 Beveren 10 1 2 7 -13 5
19 Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Anderlecht
26′
🟨 Percy Tau
Niklas Dorsch 🟨
32′
44′
M. Murillo 0–1
Y. Verschaeren
45′
🟨 Michael Murillo
Half-time 0–1
R. Bezus 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
46′
Roman Yaremchuk 🟨
61′
D. Mbayo 🔁
↦ A. Niangbo
62′
64′
🟨 Matthew Miazga
Milad Mohammadi 🟨
75′
79′
🔁 J. Cullen
↦ P. Tau
80′
🟨 Kemar Lawrence
87′
🔁 P. Mukairu
↦ F. Amuzu
M. Samoise 🔁
↦ O. Bukari
88′
1–1 R. Yaremchuk
M. Mohammadi
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
1 S. Bolat G
31 B. Godeau D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
22 S. Marreh M
30 N. Dorsch M
7 R. Yaremchuk F
11 A. Niangbo F
20 O. Bukari F
Bench (7)
9 R. Bezus
18 D. Mbayo
19 M. Samoise
26 C. Coosemans
27 M. Parmentier
6 W. George
14 C. Van Daele

Coach: W. De Decker

Anderlecht

4-3-3
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
92 K. Lawrence D
20 M. Miazga D
62 M. Murillo D
42 H. Delcroix D
23 P. Žulj M
40 F. Amuzu F
48 A. Lokonga M
51 Y. Verschaeren M
11 P. Tau F
7 L. Nmecha F
Bench (7)
8 J. Cullen
12 P. Mukairu
19 M. Bundu
1 T. Wellenreuther
10 M. Vlap
32 D. Luckassen
55 M. Kana

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U ✓
3,51
B
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.