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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Metz

U S U S S

1–1

Full-time

Dijon

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

44%

Points per game

1,6

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

22%

44%

Both score Ø 39%

44%

33%

Average goals

1,9

2,4

Scored

1,1

0,4

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 8. · Dijon 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+23	24
2	Lille	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Rennes	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Marseille	9	5	3	1	+4	18
5	Nice	9	5	2	2	+4	17
6	Montpellier	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Lyon	9	3	5	1	+6	14
8	Metz	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Monaco	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Lens	7	4	1	2	+0	13
11	Angers	9	4	1	4	-9	13
12	Bordeaux	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Brest	10	4	0	6	-7	12
14	St Etienne	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Reims	9	2	2	5	-2	8
16	Lorient	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Nimes	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Strasbourg	10	2	0	8	-9	6
20	Dijon	9	0	3	6	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+12	12
2	Lille	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Monaco	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Metz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Bordeaux	6	2	3	1	+3	9
8	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
9	Brest	5	3	0	2	-1	9
10	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+6	8
11	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Nice	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Angers	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	St Etienne	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Marseille	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Lorient	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Nimes	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Dijon	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Reims	4	1	0	3	-4	3
20	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+11	12
3	Nice	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Lille	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Rennes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Lyon	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Angers	4	2	0	2	-6	6
9	Reims	5	1	2	2	+2	5
10	Metz	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	St Etienne	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Lorient	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Lens	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	Monaco	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Bordeaux	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Brest	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.