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Ligue 1

Referee: F Batta

Brest

T S T T T

3–2

Full-time

Lille

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

2,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

33%

56%

Points per game

1,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

78%

22%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

3,6

2,1

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,2

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

36% Possession 64%

12 Shots 22

8 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 10

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 11

1 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 14. · Lille 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+23	24
2	Lille	9	5	4	0	+11	19
3	Rennes	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Marseille	9	5	3	1	+4	18
5	Nice	9	5	2	2	+4	17
6	Montpellier	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Lyon	9	3	5	1	+6	14
8	Metz	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Monaco	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Lens	7	4	1	2	+0	13
11	Angers	9	4	1	4	-9	13
12	Bordeaux	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	St Etienne	9	3	1	5	-4	10
14	Brest	9	3	0	6	-8	9
15	Reims	9	2	2	5	-2	8
16	Lorient	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Nimes	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Strasbourg	10	2	0	8	-9	6
20	Dijon	9	0	3	6	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+12	12
2	Lille	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Monaco	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Metz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Bordeaux	6	2	3	1	+3	9
8	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
9	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+6	8
10	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Nice	4	2	1	1	-1	7
12	Angers	5	2	1	2	-3	7
13	Brest	4	2	0	2	-2	6
14	St Etienne	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Marseille	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Lorient	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Nimes	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Dijon	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Reims	4	1	0	3	-4	3
20	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+11	12
3	Nice	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Lille	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Rennes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Lyon	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Angers	4	2	0	2	-6	6
9	Reims	5	1	2	2	+2	5
10	Metz	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	St Etienne	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Lorient	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Lens	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	Monaco	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Bordeaux	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Brest	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.