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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Ajax

T S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Utrecht

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

0,8

3,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-2,0

This season — Eredivisie · 10/8 matches

Win Ø 54%

70%

38%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

80%

75%

Both score Ø 49%

60%

38%

Average goals

3,4

3,6

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%

18 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Utrecht 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	9	0	1	+23	27
2	Ajax	10	7	1	2	+18	22
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+4	22
4	Zwolle	10	6	3	1	+7	21
5	Feyenoord	11	5	3	3	+7	18
6	Vitesse	9	5	2	2	+10	17
7	Excelsior	11	5	2	4	+0	17
8	Heracles	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Heerenveen	10	4	3	3	-4	15
10	Den Haag	11	4	2	5	-4	14
11	VVV Venlo	11	3	4	4	-4	13
12	Utrecht	8	3	1	4	-7	10
13	Sparta Rotterdam	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Twente	10	3	0	7	-2	9
15	Groningen	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	NAC Breda	11	2	3	6	-8	9
17	Willem II	11	3	0	8	-12	9
18	Roda	11	2	1	8	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Zwolle	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	Heracles	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Twente	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Groningen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Feyenoord	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	-2	7
11	VVV Venlo	6	1	2	3	-4	5
12	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Vitesse	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Roda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Heerenveen	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Willem II	5	1	0	4	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	4	1	1	+10	13
2	Vitesse	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Excelsior	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+12	12
5	Feyenoord	6	3	2	1	+6	11
6	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+3	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Den Haag	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Zwolle	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-9	6
12	NAC Breda	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Utrecht	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Roda	7	1	0	6	-10	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Groningen	5	0	0	5	-6	0
18	Twente	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.