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Süper Lig

Referee: Suat Arslanboga

Ankaragücü

T U T T T

2–2

Full-time

Karagumruk

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 5/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

43%

Points per game

0,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

40%

57%

Both score Ø 49%

40%

57%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%

14 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ankaragücü 21. · Karagumruk 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	7	5	2	0	+13	17
2	Fenerbahce	8	5	2	1	+4	17
3	Galatasaray	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	Kasimpasa	8	3	3	2	+2	12
5	Karagumruk	7	3	2	2	+6	11
6	Rizespor	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Gaziantep	8	2	5	1	+1	11
8	Yeni Malatyaspor	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Buyuksehyr	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Besiktas	7	3	1	3	-2	10
11	Konyaspor	7	2	3	2	+3	9
12	Antalyaspor	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Goztep	7	1	5	1	+3	8
14	Sivasspor	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	Erzurumspor	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Hatayspor	5	2	2	1	-3	8
17	Trabzonspor	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Kayserispor	6	2	0	4	-5	6
19	Genclerbirligi	6	1	2	3	-3	5
20	Denizlispor	7	1	2	4	-7	5
21	Ankaragücü	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	4	3	1	0	+10	10
2	Karagumruk	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Gaziantep	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Hatayspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Rizespor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Galatasaray	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Goztep	3	1	1	1	+3	4
12	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	+2	4
14	Besiktas	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Denizlispor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Genclerbirligi	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Erzurumspor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Sivasspor	3	0	1	2	-4	1
21	Ankaragücü	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Sivasspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Erzurumspor	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Buyuksehyr	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Goztep	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Kasimpasa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Gaziantep	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Trabzonspor	4	0	3	1	-2	3
14	Genclerbirligi	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Denizlispor	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	Antalyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Karagumruk	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	0	1	3	-6	1
21	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.