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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Lyon

U U S S U

2–1

Full-time

St Etienne

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

78%

22%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

18 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 19

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 10. · St Etienne 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	0	2	+23	24
2	Lille	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Rennes	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Marseille	9	5	3	1	+4	18
5	Monaco	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Montpellier	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Nice	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Angers	10	5	1	4	-5	16
9	Metz	10	4	3	3	+3	15
10	Lyon	9	3	5	1	+6	14
11	Lens	8	4	2	2	+0	14
12	Bordeaux	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Brest	10	4	0	6	-7	12
14	Nantes	9	3	2	4	-2	11
15	St Etienne	9	3	1	5	-4	10
16	Reims	10	2	3	5	-2	9
17	Lorient	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Nimes	10	2	2	6	-9	8
19	Strasbourg	10	2	0	8	-9	6
20	Dijon	10	0	4	6	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+12	12
2	Lille	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Monaco	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Lens	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Metz	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Bordeaux	6	2	3	1	+3	9
8	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
9	Brest	5	3	0	2	-1	9
10	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+6	8
11	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Nice	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Angers	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	St Etienne	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Marseille	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Lorient	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Nimes	6	1	1	4	-7	4
18	Dijon	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Reims	4	1	0	3	-4	3
20	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+11	12
3	Nice	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Angers	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Lille	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Rennes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Reims	6	1	3	2	+2	6
9	Lyon	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Monaco	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	Metz	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	St Etienne	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Lorient	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Lens	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Bordeaux	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Brest	5	1	0	4	-6	3
20	Dijon	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.