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LaLiga2
Castellon
U S U T T
0–1
Full-time
Girona
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 35%
29%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
29%
20%
Both score Ø 29%
57%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,6
Scored
1,0
0,4
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 1
15 Free kicks against 25
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 13. · Girona 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 7 5 1 1 +8 16
2 Fuenlabrada 7 3 4 0 +4 13
3 Vallecano 7 4 1 2 +3 13
4 Sp Gijon 7 4 1 2 +3 13
5 Malaga 7 4 1 2 -2 13
6 Ponferradina 6 4 0 2 +4 12
7 Cartagena 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Mallorca 7 3 3 1 +3 12
9 Leganes 7 4 0 3 +1 12
10 Las Palmas 8 3 3 2 +0 12
11 Lugo 8 4 0 4 +0 12
12 Mirandes 7 2 3 2 +0 9
13 Castellon 7 2 2 3 +0 8
14 Oviedo 7 1 4 2 -2 7
15 Tenerife 7 2 1 4 -3 7
16 Girona 5 2 0 3 -4 6
17 Alcorcon 5 1 2 2 +0 5
18 Zaragoza 5 1 2 2 -1 5
19 Logrones 7 1 2 4 -3 5
20 Albacete 7 1 2 4 -4 5
21 Almeria 5 1 1 3 -2 4
22 Sabadell 5 0 0 5 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,80
U
2,81
B ✓
2,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,66
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.