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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Lugano
S S U U U
1–0
Full-time
St. Gallen
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Super League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
100%
25%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
5 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 13
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 4. · St. Gallen 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gallen 4 3 1 0 +3 10
2 Lausanne 4 2 2 0 +5 8
3 Young Boys 4 2 2 0 +2 8
4 Lugano 4 1 3 0 +1 6
5 Basel 3 1 1 1 +0 4
6 Servette 4 1 1 2 -1 4
7 Sion 4 0 3 1 -1 3
8 Luzern 4 0 2 2 -2 2
9 Vaduz 4 0 2 2 -2 2
10 Zurich 3 0 1 2 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano St. Gallen
1–0 N. Lavanchy
J. Sabbatini
16′
27′
🟨 Alessandro Kräuchi
34′
🟨 Jérémy Guillemenot
Adriá Guerrero 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Rüfli
↦ A. Kräuchi
46′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ J. Guillemenot
Alexander Gerndt 🟨
53′
Numa Lavanchy 🟨
60′
S. Guidotti 🔁
↦ S. Lovric
65′
M. Bottani 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
65′
68′
🔁 E. Youan
↦ Víctor Ruiz
68′
🔁 André Ribeiro
↦ B. Stillhart
Stefano Guidotti 🟨
73′
75′
🟨 Jordi Quintillà
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ A. Gerndt
83′
88′
🟨 André Ribeiro
M. Facchinetti 🔁
↦ Adrià Guerrero
88′
M. Čovilo 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
88′
88′
🔁 T. Staubli
↦ K. Duah
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lugano

3-1-4-2
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 Á. Kecskés D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovric M
19 A. Gerndt F
9 J. Odgaard F
Bench (7)
22 S. Guidotti
10 M. Bottani
8 C. Lungoyi
91 M. Facchinetti
6 M. Čovilo
25 M. Ošs
58 S. Osigwe

Coach: M. Jacobacci

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
21 M. Muheim D
4 L. Stergiou D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
6 B. Stillhart M
24 K. Duah F
29 A. Kräuchi D
23 B. Fazliji D
16 L. Görtler M
10 Víctor Ruiz M
9 J. Guillemenot F
Bench (7)
99 V. Rüfli
34 B. Babic
20 E. Youan
11 André Ribeiro
26 T. Staubli
18 L. Watkowiak
98 Y. Letard

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.