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Ligue 2
Pau FC
T T U U T
4–1
Full-time
Niort
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Niort
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,2
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
0%
57%
Points per game
0,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
14%
29%
Both score Ø 29%
29%
29%
Average goals
1,6
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

23 Shots 15
14 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 5
18 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Pau FC 20. · Niort 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 7 5 1 1 +7 16
2 Niort 7 4 2 1 +4 14
3 Caen 8 4 2 2 +2 14
4 Sochaux 7 3 4 0 +4 13
5 Troyes 7 4 1 2 +4 13
6 Clermont 7 3 3 1 +6 12
7 Grenoble 7 4 0 3 +4 12
8 Valenciennes 7 3 1 3 +1 10
9 Dunkerque 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Guingamp 8 3 1 4 -1 10
11 Le Havre 7 3 1 3 -2 10
12 Toulouse 7 2 3 2 +0 9
13 Auxerre 7 3 0 4 -1 9
14 Nancy 7 2 2 3 +0 8
15 Chateauroux 7 2 2 3 +0 8
16 Amiens 7 2 2 3 -1 8
17 Rodez 7 2 2 3 -5 8
18 Chambly 7 1 2 4 -7 5
19 Ajaccio 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Pau FC 7 0 3 4 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
2,89
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,59
U2,5
1,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.