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LaLiga2
Cartagena
T S S U U
3–0
Full-time
Las Palmas
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
29%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

7 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 5
25 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cartagena 10. · Las Palmas 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 7 5 1 1 +8 16
2 Fuenlabrada 7 3 4 0 +4 13
3 Vallecano 7 4 1 2 +3 13
4 Sp Gijon 7 4 1 2 +3 13
5 Malaga 7 4 1 2 -2 13
6 Ponferradina 6 4 0 2 +4 12
7 Las Palmas 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 Mallorca 7 3 3 1 +3 12
9 Leganes 7 4 0 3 +1 12
10 Cartagena 7 2 3 2 +0 9
11 Mirandes 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Lugo 7 3 0 4 -1 9
13 Castellon 7 2 2 3 +0 8
14 Oviedo 7 1 4 2 -2 7
15 Tenerife 7 2 1 4 -3 7
16 Girona 5 2 0 3 -4 6
17 Alcorcon 5 1 2 2 +0 5
18 Zaragoza 5 1 2 2 -1 5
19 Logrones 6 1 2 3 -2 5
20 Albacete 7 1 2 4 -4 5
21 Almeria 5 1 1 3 -2 4
22 Sabadell 5 0 0 5 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
2,81
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,60
U2,5
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.