Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Djurgarden
Sirius
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malmo FF
|
24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | +24 | 47 |
| 2 |
Norrkoping
|
24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +14 | 39 |
| 3 |
Hacken
|
23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | +14 | 39 |
| 4 |
Elfsborg
|
24 | 9 | 12 | 3 | +7 | 39 |
| 5 |
Djurgarden
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +8 | 36 |
| 6 |
Hammarby
|
24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 36 |
| 7 |
Sirius
|
23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | +3 | 35 |
| 8 | Ostersunds | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 |
Mjallby
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -4 | 31 |
| 10 |
AIK
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Orebro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |
Varberg
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 |
Goteborg
|
24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 |
Helsingborg
|
24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | -12 | 22 |
| 15 | Falkenbergs | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -16 | 19 |
| 16 |
Kalmar
|
24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -18 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Djurgarden
Malmo FF
Hammarby
Djurgarden
Djurgarden
Norrkoping
Djurgarden
Djurgarden
Elfsborg
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.