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Allsvenskan
Djurgarden
U U T U S
4–0
Full-time
Sirius
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 41%
43%
39%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
61%
65%
Both score Ø 70%
61%
78%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Djurgarden 5. · Sirius 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 24 13 8 3 +24 47
2 Norrkoping 24 11 6 7 +14 39
3 Hacken 23 10 9 4 +14 39
4 Elfsborg 24 9 12 3 +7 39
5 Djurgarden 23 10 6 7 +8 36
6 Hammarby 24 9 9 6 +3 36
7 Sirius 23 9 8 6 +3 35
8 Ostersunds 24 8 9 7 -1 33
9 Mjallby 24 8 7 9 -4 31
10 AIK 23 8 6 9 -2 30
11 Orebro 24 8 6 10 -5 30
12 Varberg 24 7 6 11 -5 27
13 Goteborg 24 4 12 8 -10 24
14 Helsingborg 24 4 10 10 -12 22
15 Falkenbergs 24 4 7 13 -16 19
16 Kalmar 24 4 7 13 -18 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.