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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota

Santa Clara

U S S U T

1–2

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

25%

33%

Both score Ø 29%

25%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%

5 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 9

5 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Santa Clara 4. · Sp Lisbon 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Porto	4	2	1	1	+6	7
3	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Guimaraes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Sp Braga	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Nacional	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Maritimo	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Gil Vicente	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Moreirense	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Belenenses	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	-3	5
14	Tondela	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Portimonense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Rio Ave	4	0	3	1	-3	3
17	Boavista	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Farense	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Tondela	3	1	1	1	-3	4
6	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Nacional	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Farense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Porto	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Famalicao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Guimaraes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Santa Clara	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nacional	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Gil Vicente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.