← Match Finder
Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Mainz
T T T T T
2–3
Full-time
M'gladbach
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Mainz M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 12
5 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mainz 18. · M'gladbach 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 0 1 +9 9
3 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Stuttgart 5 2 2 1 +4 8
5 Ein Frankfurt 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Hoffenheim 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Leverkusen 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Union Berlin 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 M'gladbach 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Freiburg 4 1 2 1 -3 5
13 Wolfsburg 4 0 4 0 +0 4
14 Bielefeld 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Hertha 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 FC Koln 5 0 2 3 -4 2
17 Schalke 04 4 0 1 3 -14 1
18 Mainz 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mainz M'gladbach
15′
L. Stindl 0–1
1–1 J. Mateta
23′
2–1 J. Mateta
L. Öztunali
36′
Half-time 2–1
Pierre Kunde 🟨
49′
53′
🟨 Breel Embolo
53′
🔁 M. Thuram
↦ L. Stindl
54′
🔁 A. Plea
↦ T. Jantschke
60′
🔁 J. Hofmann
↦ R. Reitz
60′
🔁 F. Neuhaus
↦ C. Kramer
Luca Kilian 🟨
61′
62′
🟨 Florian Neuhaus
E. Fernandes 🔁
↦ L. Öztunali
65′
L. Barreiro 🔁
↦ P. Malong
65′
J. Burkardt 🔁
↦ R. Quaison
68′
72′
🔁 H. Wolf
↦ B. Embolo
Moussa Niakhaté 🟨
75′
76′
J. Hofmann 2–2
Danny Latza 🟨
77′
Ji Dong-Won 🔁
↦ D. Latza
80′
Robin Zentner 🟨
83′
83′
M. Ginter 2–3
J. Hofmann
84′
🟨 Marcus Thuram
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Mainz

4-2-3-1
27 R. Zentner G
18 D. Brosinski D
19 M. Niakhate D
4 J. St. Juste D
15 L. Kilian D
6 D. Latza M
5 J. Boëtius M
8 L. Öztunali M
14 P. Malong M
7 R. Quaison M
9 J. Mateta F
Bench (9)
20 E. Fernandes
35 L. Barreiro
29 J. Burkardt
11 Ji Dong-Won
37 F. Dahmen
42 A. Hack
23 P. Mwene
17 K. Stöger
26 P. Nebel

Coach: J. Lichte

M'gladbach

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt M
24 T. Jantschke D
18 S. Lainer M
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
13 L. Stindl M
6 C. Kramer M
43 R. Reitz M
7 P. Herrmann F
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (9)
10 M. Thuram
14 A. Plea
23 J. Hofmann
32 F. Neuhaus
11 H. Wolf
16 I. Traoré
25 R. Bensebaini
3 M. Lang
21 T. Sippel

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,82
U
4,15
B ✓
1,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,40
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.