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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

T S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Wurzburger Kickers

T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Wurzburger Kickers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 46%

67%

25%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

22 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

9 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 1. · Wurzburger Kickers 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Holstein Kiel	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Regensburg	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Erzgebirge Aue	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Hannover	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Nurnberg	5	1	3	1	+0	6
7	Sandhausen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	St Pauli	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Osnabruck	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Bochum	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Darmstadt	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Heidenheim	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Braunschweig	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Greuther Furth	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Wurzburger Kickers	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Sandhausen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Braunschweig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Osnabruck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Bochum	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Darmstadt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Wurzburger Kickers	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Greuther Furth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Regensburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Osnabruck	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Karlsruhe	3	0	1	2	-3	1
13	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Hannover	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Heidenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.